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The likelihood of SEC approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in January 2024 is almost 95%

Bitcoin: The likelihood of SEC approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in January 2024 is almost 95%

There is optimism in the crypto community as the SEC moves closer to approving a spot Bitcoin-ETF. This enthusiasm has been a key factor in the recent rise in cryptocurrency prices as investors eagerly await the green light from the regulator.

The latest analysis from industry insiders has changed the original conservative expectations and provided a more confident outlook. Matrixport analysts, including head of research Marcus Thielens, are confident that a breakthrough is imminent and even gave a 95% probability of approval for a spot Bitcoin-ETF by January 2024.

The likelihood of SEC approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF in January 2024 is almost 95%
BTC/USDT rate on the daily timeframe

January 10 is the key date by which the SEC is likely to approve at least one of the thirteen pending applications. This assumption is based on several factors, including #BlackRock's amended S-1 documentation, which contains specific recommendations such as price monitoring and secure storage of private keys, as well as contingency plans for Bitcoin #forks.

Moreover, the SEC's swift response to #Franklin Templeton's filing in November prior to the January deadline demonstrates the regulator's proactive approach. This gives the impression that the SEC is synchronizing its efforts with the growing interest in cryptocurrencies and is ready to approve the first spot Bitcoin-ETF.

However, despite the optimistic outlook, some experts believe that the SEC could still delay the approval process due to its cautious approaches to regulating the cryptocurrency market. Some believe that the #SEC may be waiting for even more data and evidence about the safety and transparency of the market before giving the green light for the spot Bitcoin-ETF.

Either way, the approval of a #spot Bitcoin-ETF will be a significant step forward for the cryptocurrency market and will open the door for more institutional participation and capital inflows. It would also be a sign of the increasing maturity and recognition of cryptocurrency as an active class.

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